Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
17 Jan 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (19 Jan 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)
    Landfall between
    19 Jan 2021 06:00 - 19 Jan 2021 18:00
    in Australia

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 420000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 111 210 thousand No people Australia
        Green 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 111 230 thousand No people Australia
        Green 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 111 240 thousand No people Australia
        Green 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 111 420 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.1, 146.4
          GREEN
          		 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 42000 people -15.4, 146.5
          GREEN
          		 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 220000 people -15.8, 146.5
          GREEN
          		 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 160000 people -16.3, 146.6
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Jan 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 190000 people -16.9, 146.7
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 190000 people -17.5, 146.7
          GREEN
          		 4 19 Jan 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 240000 people -18.2, 146.7
          GREEN
          		 4 19 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 230000 people -19, 146.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 20 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2000 people -19.5, 145.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 21 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -19.6, 143.5 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Queensland Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Cairns Queensland Australia Major city 150000 people
          Gordonvale Queensland Australia City -
          Innisfail Queensland Australia City 10000 people
          Tully Queensland Australia City -
          Ingham Queensland Australia City 6000 people
          Townsville Queensland Australia Major city 140000 people
          Ayr Queensland Australia City 9000 people
          Home Hill Queensland Australia City -
          Charters Towners Queensland Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Cairns CNS 3 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Innisfail IFL 14 Civ. Paved Yes 3000
          Dunk Island Township DKI unknown 0
          Hinchinbrook Island HNK unknown 0
          Orpheus Island Resort Waterport ORS unknown 0
          Ingham IGH 15 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Palm Island PMK 9 Civ. Paved Yes 3700
          Townsville TSV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
          Ayr AYR 12 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Kidston 494 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3000
          Lyndhurst LTP unknown 0
          Mt. Full Stop MFL unknown 0
          Charters Towers CXT 291 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Miners Lake MRL unknown 0
          New Moon NMP unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cairns AUCNS Coral Sea Islands
          Innisfail Coral Sea Islands
          Mourilyan AUMOU Coral Sea Islands
          Lucinda AULUC Coral Sea Islands
          Townsville AUTSV Coral Sea Islands

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Tinaroo Falls Barron 1958
          Koombooloomba Tully 1961
          Paluma Paluma Swamp Creek 1959
          Ross River Ross 1987
          Copperfield River Gorge Copperfield 1984
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Townsville, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (95 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 17 Jan 2021 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Townsville Australia  0.7
          19 Jan 2021 13:00 Halifax Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 17:00 Kinduro Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 16:00 Coolbie Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Cluden Australia  0.6
          19 Jan 2021 16:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.5
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Oolbun Australia  0.5
          19 Jan 2021 15:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.5
          19 Jan 2021 12:00 Cassady Australia  0.4
          19 Jan 2021 10:00 Lucinda Australia  0.4
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Alva Australia  0.3
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Carstairs Australia  0.3
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.3
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Rita Island Australia  0.3
          18 Jan 2021 20:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.3
          18 Jan 2021 20:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.3
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
          18 Jan 2021 18:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 08:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 08:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Bowen Australia  0.2
          18 Jan 2021 14:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Kalarka Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Merinda Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Delta Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 20:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 18:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Badu Australia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 04:00 Saibai Australia  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 04:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
          17 Jan 2021 04:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
          18 Jan 2021 04:00 Kamma Australia  0.1
          18 Jan 2021 02:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Rosella Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Chelona Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Hammond I Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Glenella Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 North Mackay Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Mackay Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Cremorne Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Slade Point Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Amhurst Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Hay Point Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Etowri Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Bucasia Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Eimeo Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Andergrove Australia  0.1
          19 Jan 2021 19:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Seisia Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 04:00 Cardwell Australia  0.1
          18 Jan 2021 03:00 Deeral Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 22:00 Karumba Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 07:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 03:00 Mossman Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 03:00 Miallo Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 03:00 Wonga Australia  0.1
          17 Jan 2021 06:00 Cape York Australia  0.1